Tue 13 May 2008
A Lament
Posted by ray under Miscellaneous, Psychology
In my travels as an educator, it saddens me to see so many fail despite working hard. But trading requires that we work SMART and HARD not just that we put in some sort of effort.
There are many, of course, who are looking for the ‘way to make a million that requires no effort, no capital and involves little loss’. This is a word-for-word question I was once asked. I told him: “Hmm if you know of such a method, I’ll be your student”. Some just don’t deserve to succeed.
But others put in effort, time and money; yet they experience the same lack of success. From my experience, the lack of success comes because they refuse to acknowledge that their actions are leading to failure. Instead they engage in bouts of rationalizations that would be funny if it were not so tragic.
Let me paint you a couple of pictures:
A close relative, Adam, has been trading as long as I have. Until recently he firmly held the view that he was a successful trader. Well, it is true he made profitable trades 90% of the time; but unfortunately, he never made money in any year! If you remember the Expectancy Formula, you’ll know why:
(Average $Win x Win Rate) - (Average $Loss x Loss Rate) MUST be greater than 1. If the result is a minus, then you must lose over a large sample size. (For a fuller description see The Nature of Returns) .
Adam never kept an equity journal, let alone a psychological journal. His way of dealing with losses was not to open the statements. Whenever I visited him, I could tell at a glance how he was doing by noticing the pile of unopened trading statements. If it was a large pile, he was losing; a small one meant he was winning. His refusal to face the ‘true’ results kept him from remedying the problem.
Let me now turn to Bob. Bob had almost completed the STC mentor course. He knew his stuff, but the knowledge was not being translated into profits. The problem was, once in a trade, Bob became myopic. Any information that did not support his mindset would be filtered out. Bob’s saving grace was he had learnt to faithfully place stops.
I saw in Bob a great potential to succeed. If I could find a way through the myopia, I knew his results would improve tenfold. The good news is we did find a way and when Bob completed STC, he had an approach he had learnt to execute consistently.
So, what about you? In which camp do you fit? Will you change to succeed? Or will you dig your heels in and stay within your comfort zone? Ultimately success or failure falls on your shoulders alone. That’s the beauty of trading.



























May 13th, 2008 at 11:34 pm
Ray
Just as you often lament, I would like to reiterate what the experts say.
“Perfect practice makes perfect.”
In other words, we must slowly build competencies and correct deficiencies.
This in turn will sustain a positive mindset ,optimal focus and motivation in us.
May 14th, 2008 at 4:50 am
Hi Ray, If i had a close relative that was a profitable trader,i would get even closer. cheers Baz
May 14th, 2008 at 7:17 am
Hi Baz
Me too!
May 15th, 2008 at 5:54 am
I agree we need to change to be successful but how do we know to which direction we should change ?
May 15th, 2008 at 8:15 am
Hi Invest Tool
That depends on the stage you are at in your journey of success, no?
As Psychology of Intelligence Analysis suggests, the process would be to establish the outcome we want, break it down to the essential component parts, take acton and, review the action for correction.
The problem for some is not knowing the essential components. That’s why, I guess the Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert Performance suggests the need for a mentor to expedite the learning curve.