Wed 22 Oct 2008
Australia & The Financial Crisis
Posted by ray under Miscellaneous
There are two countries that over the years have had a balanced budget and whose economies have been earmarked by saving both at a state and personal level: Australia and Singapore.
On that basis, I believed that these two would weather the coming storm the best.Imagine my surprise when I read the other day that Kevin Rudd floated the idea that the ‘wealthy’ ought to pay 50% of their income in tax! In this case ‘wealthy’ would be defined as anyone earning A$1M or more p.a. There was some suggestion of increasing the rate for income earned above A$2M.I know what I’d do if I were living in Australia and earning that sort of income if the suggestion became law - I’d leave.
Nor does the madness stop there.A number of measures have been implemented to ’stimulate’ the economy. Yet latest PPI was one of the largest in years showing that inflation is far from dead in Australia although the politicians act as though it were. Now, couple that with the lowest car sales in years and you have an economy showing signs of the stagflation I have been writing about.
To come through the difficult times ahead Australia needs the kind of visionary policies that Hawke/Keating showed when the floated the exchange rate etc and Howard/Costello showed in managing the economy. If Australia returns to the socialist policies of yesteryear, it will needlessly have suffered more than necessary in the coming trials.



























October 23rd, 2008 at 4:14 pm
Hi Ray,
I had to chuckle on the 1M limit for 50% tax. Here in Austria we start with 50% income tax from 51K upwards. Can you believe this?
But I love this place, that’s why I’m still here.
Greetings from Vienna,
Werner
October 24th, 2008 at 6:37 pm
Comment On: TraderFeed”Ideas for a Turnaround Thursday”
IDkit aka Ana said…
Brett
Reporting from DownUnder of CNBC interview with Ray Barros on economy:
CNBC on Oct 23 2008 @ 4pm
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=900740935
4:34 AM
October 25th, 2008 at 5:59 am
Ray
The policies announced in Australia are a deterrent to economic growth.
What it means:
1.Studies in the US suggest that investors prefer governments that support investment ie with lower taxes.
2.The stock market’s best years were in the early to mid-1980s following the Reagan tax cuts, after the 1994 election, and after the Bush administration cut investment taxes in 2003.
3.It is axiomatic in economics that higher taxes on any activity will lead to less of that activity. The converse is also true.
4.The recent history of stock market changes suggests that policies over the next few years that raise income, dividend, and capital gains taxes will be detriment for long-term stock market gains.