Archive for September, 2008

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Bailout, Sub-prime et Al

I received a few e-mails asking if I could explain in layman’s language:

what this crisis is all about and
my stance.

I can certainly explain my stance; the first part of the question may be a little more difficult. Sure, I have my views, but like the Elliott Wave, if we put a number of practitioners in […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Market Commentaries by ray

Friday, September 26th, 2008

This Time It’s Different

First off my apologies for failing to make the pre-open comment on the ES as promised in my blog yesterday. Something came up that prevented it.
Here are my thoughts for today.
I was watching CNBC the other day and someone was congratulating the FED for acting more effectively and promptly than the Japanese Central Bank did when […]

2 Comments » - Posted in Market Commentaries by ray

Thursday, September 25th, 2008

ES 09-26-2008

The ES is now at the crossroads. You will recall that in the ES 09-22-2008 video, I articulated the view that I was looking for a 13-week line change (i.e. a correction of a quarterly trend magnitude). I also said that because I considered the low of October 18 to be a ’spike’ low, […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Market Commentaries by ray

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

It’s OK, We Are Here to Help (??)

I ‘love’ governments. They cause the problem, then wring their hands because ‘you caused it’ and then come up with a cure that is worse than the disease.
Let’s look at the current US financial quagmire.

First Greenspan expanded the M3 to the extent that it not only assisted in the creation of a stock market bubble but […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Market Commentaries by ray

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

Pot Pourri - US Bank Lending Policies, Bonds, & Short Sale Bans

A Pot Pourri tonight.
First off despite the now US$1.6 trillion bailout, lending policies, at least at one US Bank, have not changed. Here’s why I say this.
A friend of mine living in Las Vegas tells me he bought a US$250k home with a US$100k deposit and borrowed the rest. The lending bank did not ask […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Miscellaneous by ray

Monday, September 22nd, 2008

ES 09-22-2008

Given the dramatic events of the previous week, I videoed my comments for the ES today. The Aussie and Singapore Stock Markets, I’ll do tomorrow.
Here’s the link:
http://www.tradingsuccess.com/download/220908/220908.html
I received quite a few ‘thank you’ e-mails.
Guys and Gals, I do not want to appear churlish - I appreciate your thanks and I rejoice in the fact you […]