BarrosMetrics Views: The Trading Plan

Trading success depends on the three factors mentioned in the previous blogs:

Winning Psychology x Effective Risk Managment x Written Plan (with an edge)

While I consider a written plan the least important of the three, it nevertheless is a requisite for  success.I place a ‘multiplication’ sign between the elements to highlight that you need all three.

The plan comes into its own when a trader attains a measure  of self-awareness necessary to consistently execute his risk management and trading rules. In this blog, I’ll examine and consider the differences between a simple and complex but deeper approach.

Ultimately the efficacy of a plan depends on two interleaving factors:

  1. How well the plan suits a trader’s personality and
  2. How well the plan reflects reality so that it delivers a high incidence of profitable trades over a large sample size.

In effect,  the plan’s efficacy is dependent on how well a trader sees “the outcome  there as correctly seen by his internal interpretations’.

As a visual trader, I rely on pattern recognition to provide the high probability trades. My path to self-knowledge was strewn with difficulties; and if I had to do it all over again, the one aspect I want to  change would be the outcome I’d seek at the beginning.

I started with the idea that to succeed, I had to understand the ‘Nature of Markets’. This meant I started seeking to trade with a highly subjective component. And the problem with that is as humans we have a capacity for self-deception.

(to be concluded tomorrow July 8)

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